Connor Bedard’s looming shoulder injury has turned the Chicago Blackhawks’ RFA market into a high‑stakes gamble, with the 20‑year‑old’s 75‑point breakout in the 2025‑26 season now clouded by a possible four‑month layoff.
How did the injury happen?
A video that went viral on social media this week shows Bedard losing his balance during a practice drill and crashing hard into the end boards. The clip suggests a re‑aggravated right‑shoulder issue that could keep him out until November. No official team statement has confirmed the timeline, but the footage has sparked immediate speculation about how the setback will shape his next contract.
What does his production look like?
Bedard finished the 2025‑26 campaign with 30 goals and 75 points in 69 games, averaging roughly 1.08 points per game. Projected over a full 82‑game season, that pace translates to about 90‑95 points, positioning him as a potential 100‑plus‑point star once fully healthy. Comparisons in the article line him up with Macklin Celebrini (115 points), Mark Scheifele (103) and Nick Suzuki (101), though each carries a different contract context.
Why is Chicago cautious?
The Blackhawks’ forward depth remains thin, meaning Bedard will continue to receive the bulk of offensive opportunities. Yet the organization must weigh the risk of another shoulder setback against the desire to lock in a long‑term cornerstone. The author predicts a two‑year bridge worth $12 million, noting that a longer deal could push annual averages to $16‑18 million if Bedard proves durability.
What are the broader RFA implications?
Bedard heads a crowded RFA class that includes Jason Robertson, Leo Carlsson and Pavel Mintyukov. While Carlsson and Mintyukov have already signed extensions, the uncertainty surrounding Bedard’s health could set a precedent for how teams approach high‑profile restricted free agents with injury histories. Chicago’s decision will likely influence market expectations for other young stars entering restricted free agency this summer.
What’s next for the Blackhawks?
If Bedard returns in November as projected, the Blackhawks will likely give him a measured workload to avoid re‑injury. The team’s management will monitor his progress closely before finalizing any contract, balancing the need for a marquee talent with fiscal prudence. Fans can expect updates as the medical staff releases more details on his recovery timeline.